Sport Picks

Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026 Victoria Park

Keith

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Buckie Thistle play Keith in the Highland League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Buckie Thistle averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Keith averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Buckie Thistle won 4, Keith won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 20, 2025 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Buckie Thistle and 1.44 for Keith. This points to a Keith double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Buckie Thistle

15%

Draws

43%

Keith

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Buckie Thistle picked up more points recently compared to Keith.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Buckie Thistle Clean Sheet 16%

Keith Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Buckie Thistle	Keith
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	17
Draws	5	6
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.87	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Highland League

Buckie Thistle vs Keith

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

5:0

Aug 9, 2025 Highland League

Keith vs Buckie Thistle

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Apr 12, 2025 Highland League

Buckie Thistle vs Keith

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Nov 16, 2024 Highland League

Keith vs Buckie Thistle

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

3:1

Apr 20, 2024 Highland League

Buckie Thistle vs Keith

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buckie Thistle 41 / 100

Keith 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Buckie Thistle Keith

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Keith or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Buckie Thistle attacking → ← attacking Keith

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buckie Thistle scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Keith let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Buckie Thistle went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Keith lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 57

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brora Rangers	34	23	6	5	97:35	75
2	Brechin	34	23	5	6	78:23	74
3	Formartine Utd	34	20	11	3	65:27	71
4	Fraserburgh	34	21	5	8	75:39	68
5	Clachnacuddin	34	18	7	9	78:40	61
6	Banks O' Dee	34	16	10	8	58:35	58
7	Keith	34	17	7	10	52:47	58
8	Buckie Thistle	34	16	5	13	62:47	53
9	Nairn County	34	15	4	15	56:52	49
10	Turriff United	34	13	9	12	60:50	48
11	Huntly	34	11	10	13	46:43	43
12	Forres Mechanics	34	11	7	16	52:67	40
13	Strathspey Thistle	34	13	2	19	49:83	38
14	Deveronvale	34	11	4	19	46:87	37
15	Inverurie Loco Works	34	9	6	19	47:66	30
16	Wick Academy	34	7	7	20	42:65	28
17	Lossiemouth	34	4	5	25	20:76	17
18	Rothes	34	1	4	29	33:134	7