Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buckie Thistle vs Lossiemouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League Victoria Park, Buckie
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Matheson K.
Assist: Mitchell B.
17' Event
Allen B.
Assist: Cruickshank A.
22' Event
Cruickshank A.

AI Match Summary

The Highland League game between Buckie Thistle and Lossiemouth finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lossiemouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Buckie Thistle
15%
Draws
85%
Lossiemouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lossiemouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Buckie Thistle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Buckie Thistle Clean Sheet 16%
Lossiemouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buckie Thistle Lossiemouth
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.96 1
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Lossiemouth
2:4
Dec 13, 2025 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Buckie Thistle
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Lossiemouth
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Buckie Thistle
1:3
Nov 2, 2024 Highland League
Buckie Thistle vs Lossiemouth
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buckie Thistle Compare

Top Goalscorer McKay I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Lossiemouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheson K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buckie Thistle 31 / 100
Lossiemouth 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buckie Thistle Lossiemouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buckie Thistle scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Lossiemouth let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Lossiemouth's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Buckie Thistle VS Lossiemouth
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Buckie Thistle

(Home)
07 Oct
Buckie Thistle
2 : 4
Lossiemouth
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Forres Mechanics
2 : 1
Buckie Thistle
12 Sept
Buckie Thistle
0 : 3
Huntly
Page 1 of 6

Lossiemouth

(Away)
07 Oct
Buckie Thistle
2 : 4
Lossiemouth
03 Oct
Musselburgh
2 : 1
Lossiemouth
26 Sept
Lossiemouth
3 : 4
Wick Academy
19 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 0
Lossiemouth
16 Sept
Lossiemouth
0 : 2
Deveronvale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 13 11 2 0 53:12 35
2 Inverurie Loco Works 14 8 5 1 28:18 29
3 Formartine Utd 13 7 4 2 25:17 25
4 Fraserburgh 12 7 3 2 27:11 24
5 Clachnacuddin 12 5 5 2 28:11 20
6 Strathspey Thistle 14 6 2 6 26:19 20
7 Forres Mechanics 13 6 2 5 23:20 20
8 Buckie Thistle 12 6 1 5 32:20 19
9 Banks O' Dee 13 5 4 4 29:27 19
10 Huntly 13 5 3 5 26:21 18
11 Nairn County 13 4 5 4 19:21 17
12 Lossiemouth 13 5 2 6 20:28 17
13 Turriff United 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
14 Keith 13 4 3 6 19:29 15
15 Deveronvale 13 3 3 7 17:22 12
16 Invergordon 13 3 1 9 15:36 10
17 Wick Academy 13 2 0 11 11:38 6
18 Rothes 12 1 0 11 9:55 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)