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World

Club Friendly 2023

Exmouth Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Buckland play Exmouth Town in the Club Friendly 2023. Exmouth Town are favorites here. Recently, Buckland averaged 1.18 goals scored and 3.06 conceded. Exmouth Town averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Buckland won 0, Exmouth Town won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 11, 2023 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.18 for Buckland and 2.16 for Exmouth Town. This points to a Exmouth Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Buckland

15%

Draws

64%

Exmouth Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Exmouth Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Buckland picked up more points recently compared to Exmouth Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.18 vs 2.16 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Buckland Clean Sheet 10%

Exmouth Town Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Buckland	Exmouth Town
Matches Played	17	18
Wins	1	4
Draws	3	2
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.18	1.39
Goals Conceded	3.06	2.11
Expected Goals (xG)	0.86	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.43	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly

Buckland vs Exmouth Town

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buckland Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66

Avg xA / game 0.43

Exmouth Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Landricombe M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Shipton B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buckland 21 / 100

Exmouth Town 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Buckland Exmouth Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exmouth Town Win (2)

Secondary Pick Exmouth Town & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.4%

1.39

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Buckland attacking → ← attacking Exmouth Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buckland scored in 53% of their last 17 games.

Exmouth Town let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Buckland went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Exmouth Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 14

0.86 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

2.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50