Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Jones S.
58'
58'
Torry D.
89'
89'
Mariette L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newtown
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Newtown have won more games recently than Buckley.
- Buckley are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Newtown arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Buckley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%
Newtown Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buckley | Newtown |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 19 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.69 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2026 Cymru North
Newtown vs Buckley
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 Cymru North
Buckley vs Newtown
3:0
Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Buckley vs Newtown
2:3
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Buckley vs Newtown
1:1
Jul 22, 2014 Club Friendly
Buckley vs Newtown
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buckley Compare
Top Goalscorer Mariette L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Holland H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Newtown Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torry D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buckley 38 / 100
Newtown 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buckley Newtown
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buckley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Buckley scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Newtown conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Buckley remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Buckley VS Newtown
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Buckley
(Home) 25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6 Buckley
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3 Buckley
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0 Buckley
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1 Guilsfield
15 Aug
Buckley
1 : 1 Porthmadog
01 Aug
Buckley
2 : 4 Denbigh
23 Jun
Buckley
0 : 6 Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 3
Newtown
(Away) 12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1 Newtown
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0 Denbigh
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1 Newtown
28 Aug
Newtown
4 : 0 Llanuwchllyn
15 Aug
Newtown
1 : 1 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1 Newtown
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1 Newtown
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3 Newtown
18 Apr
Ruthin Town
2 : 3 Newtown
08 Apr
Holywell Town FC
6 : 0 Newtown
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2
