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Buckley vs Penrhyncoch

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
James J.
65' Event
Kellaway G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Buckley and Penrhyncoch finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penrhyncoch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Buckley
15%
Draws
73%
Penrhyncoch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penrhyncoch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Penrhyncoch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Buckley Clean Sheet 10%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buckley Penrhyncoch
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Cymru North
Buckley vs Penrhyncoch
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Buckley
6:0
Feb 15, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Buckley
0:0
Jul 26, 2024 Cymru North
Buckley vs Penrhyncoch
0:0
Feb 4, 2023 Cymru North
Buckley vs Penrhyncoch
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buckley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer James J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buckley 30 / 100
Penrhyncoch 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buckley Penrhyncoch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penrhyncoch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buckley scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Penrhyncoch has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Penrhyncoch registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buckley VS Penrhyncoch
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Buckley

(Home)
21 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0
Buckley
15 Aug
Buckley
1 : 1
Porthmadog
08 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 1
Buckley
01 Aug
Buckley
2 : 4
Denbigh
23 Jun
Buckley
0 : 6
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 7

Penrhyncoch

(Away)
22 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3
Porthmadog
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0
Rhyl
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)