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Budafoki MTE vs Erdi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest Promontor utcai Stadion, Budapest
Budafoki MTE Logo

Budafoki MTE

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Erdi Logo

Erdi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Budafoki MTE host Erdi in the NB III - Southwest. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Budafoki MTE have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Erdi's 1.9 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Budafoki MTE have won 1 to Erdi's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2017, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.63, favoring Erdi. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Budafoki MTE
20%
Draws
40%
Erdi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Erdi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Budafoki MTE a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Budafoki MTE Clean Sheet 14%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Budafoki MTE Erdi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2017 Hungarian Cup
Budafoki MTE vs Erdi
2:0
Feb 11, 2017 Hungarian Cup
Erdi vs Budafoki MTE
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Budafoki MTE 39 / 100
Erdi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Budafoki MTE Erdi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Budafoki MTE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Budafoki MTE scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Erdi let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Budafoki MTE went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Budafoki MTE VS Erdi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Budafoki MTE

(Home)
10 Oct
Budafoki MTE
3 : 3
Majosi
03 Oct
Pecsi MFC
2 : 1
Budafoki MTE
26 Sept
Budafoki MTE
2 : 4
Dunaharaszti MTK
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
29 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 3
Budafoki MTE
Page 1 of 6

Erdi

(Away)
11 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 1
Erdi
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 10 6 1 3 24:14 19
3 Ferencvaros II 10 5 3 2 23:14 18
4 Budafoki MTE 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
5 Dunaharaszti MTK 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
6 PTE-PEAC 10 4 4 2 16:13 16
7 MTK Budapest II 9 5 0 4 24:15 15
8 Ivancsa 10 5 0 5 21:21 15
9 Majosi 10 4 3 3 21:21 15
10 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
11 Erdi 10 3 3 4 22:24 12
12 Budaorsi SC 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
13 Paks II 11 1 4 6 20:24 7
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 10 0 0 10 5:42 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)