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Buderich vs SW Essen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buderich host SW Essen in the Oberliga Niederrhein. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Buderich at 1.62 goals for, 2.17 against; SW Essen at 1.43 for, 2.1 against. Past meetings favor SW Essen slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.81, favoring SW Essen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Buderich
30%
Draws
23%
SW Essen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buderich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SW Essen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Buderich Clean Sheet 11%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buderich SW Essen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.62 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Buderich vs SW Essen
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Buderich
1:4
Feb 22, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Buderich vs SW Essen
5:1
Sep 18, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Buderich
3:0
May 22, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Buderich
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buderich 29 / 100
SW Essen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buderich SW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buderich Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SW Essen let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Buderich scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: SW Essen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buderich VS SW Essen
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Buderich

(Home)
25 Oct
Scherpenberg
3 : 0
Buderich
16 Oct
Buderich
0 : 0
Baumberg
09 Oct
Dusseldorf II
2 : 2
Buderich
04 Oct
Buderich
2 : 3
Holzheim
27 Sept
SC St.Tonis
4 : 0
Buderich
Page 1 of 6

SW Essen

(Away)
24 Oct
SW Essen
1 : 4
Schonnebeck
16 Oct
Wuppertaler
1 : 0
SW Essen
10 Oct
SW Essen
0 : 3
Germania Ratingen
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 11 9 2 0 42:15 29
2 SSVg Velbert 11 9 0 2 32:18 27
3 Dusseldorf II 11 6 3 2 23:11 21
4 Baumberg 11 5 4 2 23:20 19
5 FC Monheim 11 5 3 3 22:15 18
6 SC St.Tonis 11 5 3 3 21:16 18
7 Juchen-Garzweiler 11 5 2 4 23:23 17
8 Wuppertaler 11 5 1 5 18:10 16
9 Sonsbeck 11 4 4 3 19:18 16
10 Dingden 11 5 1 5 15:16 16
11 Germania Ratingen 11 3 6 2 22:21 15
12 Solingen-Wald 11 5 0 6 22:27 15
13 Uerdingen 11 4 2 5 22:14 14
14 Scherpenberg 11 3 2 6 15:25 11
15 Buderich 11 1 4 6 12:29 7
16 SW Essen 11 1 3 7 12:26 6
17 Meerbusch 11 1 3 7 12:26 6
18 Holzheim 11 1 1 9 12:37 4
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)