Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buderich vs Union Nettetal

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buderich play Union Nettetal in the Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Buderich averaged 1.78 goals scored and 2 conceded. Union Nettetal averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Buderich won 1, Union Nettetal won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Buderich and 1.44 for Union Nettetal. This points to a Buderich double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Buderich
22%
Draws
33%
Union Nettetal
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Buderich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Buderich picked up more points recently compared to Union Nettetal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Buderich Clean Sheet 16%
Union Nettetal Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buderich Union Nettetal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.78 1.33
Goals Conceded 2 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Buderich vs Union Nettetal
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Union Nettetal vs Buderich
1:3
Mar 17, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Union Nettetal vs Buderich
2:0
Sep 24, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Buderich vs Union Nettetal
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buderich Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Union Nettetal Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorsch L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Winkens P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buderich 44 / 100
Union Nettetal 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buderich Union Nettetal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Buderich or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Buderich attacking → ← attacking Union Nettetal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buderich scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Union Nettetal let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Buderich went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Union Nettetal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 27
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SSVg Velbert34228482:3174
2Schonnebeck342266108:3972
3SW Essen34216774:4269
4SC St.Tonis34215895:4568
5Homberg341951067:4662
6Hilden34179865:4360
7Buderich341651379:7453
8Sonsbeck341361552:6345
9Germania Ratingen341351648:5444
10Meerbusch3411101363:6343
11SV Biemenhorst341261650:7542
12FC Monheim341081655:6438
13Kleve348131345:5337
14Baumberg34981747:7235
15Union Nettetal34862044:7330
16SF Niederwenigern346111743:7029
17Mulheimer FC 9734772045:8828
18TVD Velbert34662241:10824