Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Budoni Calcio vs Aranova

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ragatzu D.
24' Event
El Bakhtaoui F.
36' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Budoni Calcio and Aranova finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Budoni Calcio
35%
Draws
36%
Aranova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aranova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aranova haven't matched Budoni Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Budoni Calcio a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Budoni Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Aranova Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Budoni Calcio Aranova
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 10 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Aranova
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Budoni Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragatzu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Aranova Compare

Top Goalscorer El Bakhtaoui F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Darini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Budoni Calcio 42 / 100
Aranova 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Budoni Calcio Aranova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Budoni Calcio scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Budoni Calcio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Aranova conceded in 50% of 4 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Budoni Calcio VS Aranova
0.88 Goals Scored 0.8
1 Goals Conceded 0.8
50% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Budoni Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 0
Anzio Calcio 1924
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2
Aranova
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
03 May
Budoni Calcio
0 : 0
Latte Dolce
Page 1 of 6

Aranova

(Away)
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0
Albalonga
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2
Aranova
06 Sept
Aranova
0 : 0
Anzio Calcio 1924

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paganese 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
2 Sarnese 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
4 Monastir 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
5 Unipomezia 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Albalonga 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
7 Ossese 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Trastevere Calcio 4 2 1 1 5:8 7
9 Afragolese 4 1 3 0 5:1 6
10 Aranova 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Budoni Calcio 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
13 Gelbison 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Sarrabus Ogliastra 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Citta di Anagni 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
16 Latte Dolce 4 0 1 3 5:10 1
17 Atl. Lodigiani 4 0 1 3 5:11 1
18 US Venafro 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)