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Buducnost Arilje vs Macva Bogatic

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023 game between Buducnost Arilje and Macva Bogatic finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macva Bogatic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Buducnost Arilje
20%
Draws
63%
Macva Bogatic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macva Bogatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macva Bogatic come out ahead of Buducnost Arilje on wins alone.
  • Model gives Macva Bogatic a 63% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Macva Bogatic here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Buducnost Arilje Clean Sheet 16%
Macva Bogatic Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buducnost Arilje Macva Bogatic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 Srpska Liga - West
Buducnost Arilje vs Macva Bogatic
2:7
Nov 12, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Buducnost Arilje
2:0
Mar 13, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Buducnost Arilje vs Macva Bogatic
0:2
Aug 21, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Buducnost Arilje
5:2
May 30, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Buducnost Arilje
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buducnost Arilje 10 / 100
Macva Bogatic 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buducnost Arilje Macva Bogatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macva Bogatic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Macva Bogatic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Buducnost Arilje scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Buducnost Arilje went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buducnost Arilje VS Macva Bogatic
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buducnost Arilje

(Home)
10 Jun
Borac 1926
3 : 0
Buducnost Arilje
03 Jun
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 7
Macva Bogatic
27 May
Mladi Radnik
4 : 1
Buducnost Arilje
20 May
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 4
Polet Ljubic
13 May
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 0
Radevac
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Macva Bogatic

(Away)
10 Jun
Macva Bogatic
3 : 0
Mladi Radnik
03 Jun
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 7
Macva Bogatic
27 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Radevac
21 May
OFK Mihajlovac
0 : 2
Macva Bogatic
13 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Takovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Smederevo 30 24 5 1 62:17 77
2 Borac 1926 30 24 4 2 74:24 76
3 FAP 30 16 9 5 46:26 57
4 Sloga Pozega 30 13 9 8 36:24 48
5 Polet Ljubic 30 13 6 11 47:50 45
6 Tutin 30 12 5 13 29:37 41
7 Takovo 30 9 10 11 37:39 37
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 9 10 11 27:39 37
9 OFK Mihajlovac 30 8 10 12 26:39 34
10 Mladi Radnik 30 9 6 15 39:52 33
11 Real Podunavci 30 9 6 15 29:41 33
12 Macva Bogatic 30 8 8 14 39:45 32
13 Sloga Kraljevo 30 7 10 13 29:41 31
14 Sloga 1940 30 9 4 17 39:41 31
15 Radevac 30 7 9 14 28:39 30
16 Buducnost Arilje 30 5 5 20 24:57 20
Promotion - Prva Liga 2023/2024 (Main)