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Budva vs FK Podgorica Prediction & H2H Stats

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Lijesevic N.
35' Event
Smolovic L.
45' Event
Janketic V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Druga Liga game between Budva and FK Podgorica finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Podgorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Budva
35%
Draws
38%
FK Podgorica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Podgorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Podgorica come out ahead of Budva on wins alone.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Budva Clean Sheet 16%
FK Podgorica Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Budva FK Podgorica
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 2 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Druga Liga
Budva vs FK Podgorica
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Budva Compare

Top Goalscorer Lijesevic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Podgorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Smolovic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Budva 36 / 100
FK Podgorica 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Budva FK Podgorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Podgorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Budva found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (7 games).

FK Podgorica has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Budva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Budva VS FK Podgorica
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Budva

(Home)
21 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
FK Podgorica
16 Sept
Berane
1 : 1
Budva
12 Sept
Zeta
0 : 0
Budva
06 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
Iskra Danilovgrad
29 Aug
Rudar
0 : 3
Budva
Page 1 of 2

FK Podgorica

(Away)
21 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
FK Podgorica
17 Sept
FK Podgorica
3 : 3
Zeta
12 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
1 : 1
FK Podgorica
06 Sept
FK Podgorica
1 : 1
Rudar
30 Aug
Grbalj
0 : 0
FK Podgorica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Podgorica 9 4 5 0 16:10 17
2 Jedinstvo 9 5 2 2 15:10 17
3 Grbalj 8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4 Zeta 9 4 3 2 13:10 15
5 Lovcen 9 4 1 4 13:16 13
6 Rudar 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
7 Kom Podgorica 8 3 2 3 10:8 11
8 Iskra Danilovgrad 9 3 1 5 5:9 10
9 Budva 9 2 2 5 11:12 8
10 Berane 9 0 2 7 5:18 2
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Relegation)