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Budva vs Kom Podgorica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga
Budva Logo

Budva

1 - 1
FT
Kom Podgorica Logo

Kom Podgorica

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sakamaki H.
88' Event
Lijesevic N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druga Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Budva
30%
Draws
54%
Kom Podgorica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kom Podgorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Kom Podgorica have won more games recently than Budva.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Druga Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Budva Clean Sheet 20%
Kom Podgorica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Budva Kom Podgorica
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 2 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Druga Liga
Budva vs Kom Podgorica
1:1
Aug 16, 2026 Druga Liga
Kom Podgorica vs Budva
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Budva Compare

Top Goalscorer Lijesevic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kom Podgorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakamaki H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Budva 32 / 100
Kom Podgorica 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Budva Kom Podgorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kom Podgorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Budva's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Kom Podgorica has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Budva stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Budva VS Kom Podgorica
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Budva

(Home)
10 Oct
Grbalj
2 : 2
Budva
04 Oct
Budva
1 : 1
Kom Podgorica
30 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
Lovcen
26 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Budva
21 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
FK Podgorica
Page 1 of 3

Kom Podgorica

(Away)
15 Oct
Petrovac
2 : 0
Kom Podgorica
11 Oct
Kom Podgorica
3 : 2
FK Podgorica
04 Oct
Budva
1 : 1
Kom Podgorica
30 Sept
Zeta
1 : 3
Kom Podgorica
26 Sept
Kom Podgorica
0 : 1
Iskra Danilovgrad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Podgorica 11 5 5 1 20:14 20
2 Jedinstvo 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
3 Zeta 11 5 3 3 16:13 18
4 Grbalj 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
5 Iskra Danilovgrad 11 5 1 5 11:10 16
6 Lovcen 11 5 1 5 16:18 16
7 Kom Podgorica 10 4 3 3 14:11 15
8 Rudar 11 4 3 4 17:17 15
9 Budva 11 2 4 5 14:15 10
10 Berane 11 0 2 9 7:25 2
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Relegation)