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Bugesera vs APR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bugesera host APR in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Bugesera have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against APR's 1.87 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Bugesera have won 0 to APR's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.90 xG vs 1.13) point toward APR. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bugesera
15%
Draws
54%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and APR come out ahead of Bugesera on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bugesera Clean Sheet 20%
APR Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bugesera APR
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 21
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Bugesera vs APR
2:2
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Bugesera
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Bugesera vs APR
0:1
Nov 27, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Bugesera
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Premier League
Bugesera vs APR
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bugesera 36 / 100
APR 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bugesera APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bugesera's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

APR let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bugesera stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bugesera VS APR
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bugesera

(Home)
10 Oct
Bugesera
2 : 0
Etincelles
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
Page 1 of 6

APR

(Away)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Mukura Victory Sports 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
5 Sunrise 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
6 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Amagaju 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
8 Gasogi United 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
9 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
10 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
12 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
13 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
14 Police 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
15 Musanze 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
16 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
17 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
18 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)