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Bugesera vs APR

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Bugesera Logo

Bugesera

2 - 2
FT
APR Logo

APR

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bugesera
15%
Draws
64%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • APR have won more games recently than Bugesera.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on APR taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Bugesera Clean Sheet 10%
APR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bugesera APR
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Bugesera vs APR
2:2
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Bugesera
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Bugesera vs APR
0:1
Nov 27, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Bugesera
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Premier League
Bugesera vs APR
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bugesera 14 / 100
APR 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bugesera APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bugesera scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: APR conceded in 63% of 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bugesera stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bugesera VS APR
0.71 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bugesera

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
Page 1 of 6

APR

(Away)
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)