Sport Picks

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Bugesera vs Gorilla

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Bugesera Logo

Bugesera

3 - 1
FT
Gorilla Logo

Gorilla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Bugesera and Gorilla finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bugesera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bugesera
30%
Draws
47%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Bugesera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gorilla a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bugesera Clean Sheet 16%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bugesera Gorilla
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Bugesera vs Gorilla
3:1
Oct 31, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Bugesera
2:1
May 2, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Bugesera
0:1
Nov 6, 2024 Premier League
Bugesera vs Gorilla
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Premier League
Gorilla vs Bugesera
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bugesera 15 / 100
Gorilla 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bugesera Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bugesera's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Gorilla let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Bugesera went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bugesera VS Gorilla
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bugesera

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
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Gorilla

(Away)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)