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Bugesera vs Musanze

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Bugesera Logo

Bugesera

1 - 2
FT
Musanze Logo

Musanze

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Musanze in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Musanze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bugesera
35%
Draws
39%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Musanze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Musanze haven't matched Bugesera's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Musanze taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bugesera Clean Sheet 20%
Musanze Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bugesera Musanze
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Bugesera vs Musanze
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs Bugesera
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs Bugesera
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
Bugesera vs Musanze
1:1
Jan 20, 2024 Premier League
Bugesera vs Musanze
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bugesera 24 / 100
Musanze 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bugesera Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musanze Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bugesera scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Musanze has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bugesera remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bugesera VS Musanze
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bugesera

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
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Musanze

(Away)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)