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Buhimba vs Express FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 The Royals Park, Butema
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Wambuga M.
75' Event
Nyanzi M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Buhimba and Express FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Express FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Buhimba
15%
Draws
85%
Express FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Express FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Buhimba haven't matched Express FC's recent run of results.
  • Express FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Buhimba Clean Sheet 13%
Express FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buhimba Express FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.53 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Premier League
Buhimba vs Express FC
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Express FC vs Buhimba
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buhimba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Express FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wambuga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyanzi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buhimba 10 / 100
Express FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buhimba Express FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Express FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Express FC conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Express FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Buhimba found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Buhimba VS Express FC
0.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buhimba

(Home)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
13 May
NEC FC
3 : 0
Buhimba
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
Page 1 of 6

Express FC

(Away)
17 Sept
Express FC
1 : 1
Kitara
09 Sept
Villa
2 : 0
Express FC
03 Sept
Express FC
2 : 0
Kampala City
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Vipers
2 : 0
Express FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)