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Buildcon vs Nakambala Leopards

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2019/2020
Wed, Jul 22, 2020
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buildcon play Nakambala Leopards in the Super League 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Buildcon averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Nakambala Leopards averaged 0.52 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Buildcon won 3, Nakambala Leopards won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 22, 2020 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Buildcon and 1.44 for Nakambala Leopards. This points to a Nakambala Leopards double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Buildcon
15%
Draws
50%
Nakambala Leopards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nakambala Leopards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Buildcon picked up more points recently compared to Nakambala Leopards.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
Buildcon Clean Sheet 16%
Nakambala Leopards Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buildcon Nakambala Leopards
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 3 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.5 0.52
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2020 Super League
Buildcon vs Nakambala Leopards
3:0
Oct 19, 2019 Super League
Nakambala Leopards vs Buildcon
2:0
Sep 1, 2018 Super League
Buildcon vs Nakambala Leopards
2:1
May 19, 2018 Super League
Nakambala Leopards vs Buildcon
0:2
Oct 21, 2017 Super League
Buildcon vs Nakambala Leopards
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buildcon 35 / 100
Nakambala Leopards 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buildcon Nakambala Leopards

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nakambala Leopards or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Buildcon attacking → ← attacking Nakambala Leopards

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buildcon scored in 34% of their last 32 games.

Nakambala Leopards let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Buildcon went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nakambala Leopards lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 16
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nkana27148535:1850
2Forest Rangers27148532:1950
3Green Eagles27139534:1948
4NAPSA Stars27146736:2248
5Zesco27138638:2347
6Power Dynamos27128734:1944
7Zanaco27128737:2644
8Kabwe271251029:2941
9Lusaka Dynamos27117933:2840
10Red Arrows27117926:2840
11Green Buffaloes FC27108928:2738
12Nkwazi27614718:2032
13Buildcon27881129:3532
14Lumwana Radiants27871221:2231
15Kansanshi276101119:2428
16Mufulira Wanderers27451817:3917
17Nakambala Leopards27451815:4517
18Kabwe Youth Academy (Kysa)27351916:5414