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Builth vs Ton Pentre

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Ton Pentre advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Builth
15%
Draws
85%
Ton Pentre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ton Pentre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ton Pentre come out ahead of Builth on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Ton Pentre arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ton Pentre, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Builth Clean Sheet 10%
Ton Pentre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Builth Ton Pentre
Matches Played 6 19
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 2
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 FAW Welsh Cup
Builth vs Ton Pentre
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Builth 30 / 100
Ton Pentre 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Builth Ton Pentre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ton Pentre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ton Pentre conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Builth's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Ton Pentre's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Builth VS Ton Pentre
2 Goals Scored 1.5
4.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Builth

(Home)
08 Jul
Builth
0 : 1
Caersws FC
21 Sept
Buckley
7 : 2
Builth
16 Sept
Llanidloes Town
5 : 4
Builth
19 Oct
Builth
2 : 3
Ton Pentre
05 Nov
Builth
0 : 5
Taffs Well
Page 1 of 2

Ton Pentre

(Away)
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
17 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
6 : 0
Ton Pentre
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
08 Feb
Trefelin
4 : 1
Ton Pentre
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
Builth 2
Ton Pentre 3
Garden Village 1
Goytre Utd 3
Cefn Cribwr 2
Tredegar Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Llannefydd 3
Guilsfield 2
Brymbo 1
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Pontardawe 3
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Holyhead 4
Montgomery 2
Blaenau 0
Buckley 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 3
Penparcau FC 1
Trefelin 2
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 3
Monmouth 1
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Aberaeron 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Llandudno FC 3
Mynydd Isa 3
Llanfair United 5
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanberis FC 0
Porthmadog 7
Coedpoeth 0
Gresford 5
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 3
Caerau Ely 1
Llantwit Major 0
Llandrindod 1
Greenfield 3
Caersws FC 1
Flint Town 9
Four Crosses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Corwen 2
Colwyn Bay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Briton Ferry 2
Undy 3
Pure Swansea 4
Caerleon 1
Haverfordwest 5
Penlan Club 3
Cambrian United 7
Ynyshir Albions 3
Llanelli 2
Cwmamman United 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Cardiff Corries 1
Nefyn United 0
Bangor City 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Prestatyn 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterloo Rovers 1
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberffraw 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 4
Penycae FC 3
Conwy Borough 1
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 2
Llangefni 0
Prestatyn Sports 2
Queens Park 3
Chepstow Town 3
Taffs Well 2
Cwmaman Institute 2
STM Sports 6
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 3
Ton Pentre 1
Goytre Utd 6
Cefn Cribwr 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Llannefydd 1
Guilsfield 5
Pontardawe 6
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Holyhead 0
Buckley 3
Abertillery Bluebirds 4
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Llandudno FC 4
Llanfair United 1
Penybont -
TBD -
Porthmadog 4
Gresford 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Llandrindod 0
Greenfield 1
Flint Town 3
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 0
Colwyn Bay 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Undy 5
Pure Swansea 6
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 2
Llanelli 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Bangor City 0
Prestatyn 3
TNS -
TBD -
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 0
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 3
Queens Park 0
Chepstow Town 0
STM Sports 5
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town 0
Ammanford Town 4
Goytre Utd 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Guilsfield 0
Pontardawe 3
Buckley 1
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Connahs Q. 3
Afan Lido 5
Llandudno FC 1
Penybont 6
Porthmadog 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 2
Bala 0
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Pure Swansea 3
Cambrian United 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Prestatyn 2
TNS 9
Mold Alexandra 0
Aberystwyth 2
Ruthin Town 1
Barry Town 0
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
STM Sports 0
1/8-finals
Ammanford Town 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Pontardawe 0
Connahs Q. 8
Afan Lido 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Pure Swansea 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 4
Aberystwyth 0
Newtown 4
Rhyl 1
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 0
Connahs Q. 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 6
Newtown 1
Semi-finals
Caernarfon -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Prestatyn -
TNS -
Final
TBD -
TBD -