Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buje vs Novigrad

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Buje Logo

Buje

2 - 1
FT
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Buje in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Buje
20%
Draws
20%
Novigrad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Buje have won more games recently than Novigrad.
  • Model gives Buje a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Buje Clean Sheet 18%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buje Novigrad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL West
Buje vs Novigrad
2:1
Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Buje
1:0
May 22, 2021 3. HNL West
Buje vs Novigrad
2:2
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Buje
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buje 67 / 100
Novigrad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buje Novigrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Buje scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Novigrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Novigrad's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Buje VS Novigrad
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Buje

(Home)
28 May
Crikvenica
2 : 0
Buje
21 May
Buje
0 : 2
Uljanik Pula
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Buje
2 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
30 Apr
Pazinka
0 : 2
Buje
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Novigrad

(Away)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)