Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bukavu Dawa vs Celeste

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bukavu Dawa in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bukavu Dawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bukavu Dawa
33%
Draws
27%
Celeste
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bukavu Dawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Celeste have won more games recently than Bukavu Dawa.
  • Bukavu Dawa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 20%
Celeste Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bukavu Dawa Celeste
Matches Played 26 35
Wins 2 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Celeste
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Bukavu Dawa
5:0
Mar 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Celeste
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bukavu Dawa 40 / 100
Celeste 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bukavu Dawa Celeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celeste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Bukavu Dawa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bukavu Dawa scored in 35% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

Bukavu Dawa VS Celeste
0.67 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bukavu Dawa

(Home)
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0
AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0
Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1
FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6

Celeste

(Away)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)