Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Bukavu Dawa in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bukavu Dawa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bukavu Dawa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Celeste have won more games recently than Bukavu Dawa.
- Bukavu Dawa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 20%
Celeste Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bukavu Dawa | Celeste |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.78 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Celeste
1:0
Oct 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Bukavu Dawa
5:0
Mar 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Celeste
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bukavu Dawa 40 / 100
Celeste 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bukavu Dawa Celeste
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bukavu Dawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celeste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Bukavu Dawa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Bukavu Dawa scored in 35% of their last 26 games.
Scoring Trends
Bukavu Dawa VS Celeste
0.67 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bukavu Dawa
(Home) 14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0 AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1 FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0 AS Maniema
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1 FC MK Etancheite
28 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 1 AC Rangers
07 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
24 Jan
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0 Celeste
Page 1 of 3
Celeste
(Away) 20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1 Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1 Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2 Celeste
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20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1 Celeste
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2 Celeste
24 May
AS Vita Club
2 : 0 Celeste
18 May
Aigles du Congo
2 : 0 Celeste
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
