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Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Bukovyna Stadium, Chernivtsi
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Pidlepenets Y.
9'
Dakhnovskyi V.
12' Event
Voytikhovskiy M.

AI Match Summary

Bukovyna in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bukovyna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bukovyna
35%
Draws
19%
Vorskla Poltava
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bukovyna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vorskla Poltava haven't matched Bukovyna's recent run of results.
  • Bukovyna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bukovyna have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bukovyna Clean Sheet 68%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bukovyna Vorskla Poltava
Matches Played 35 26
Wins 22 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.91 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Persha Liga
Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava
6:0
Oct 18, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs Bukovyna
0:2
Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bukovyna Compare

Top Goalscorer Dakhnovskyi V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pidlepenets Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Vorskla Poltava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bukovyna 95 / 100
Vorskla Poltava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bukovyna Vorskla Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bukovyna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vorskla Poltava let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bukovyna scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Bukovyna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bukovyna VS Vorskla Poltava
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bukovyna

(Home)
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0
Bukovyna
16 Sept
Bukovyna
0 : 1
LNZ Cherkasy
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
Page 1 of 7

Vorskla Poltava

(Away)
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1
Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0
Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1
Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)