Sport Picks

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BUL vs Mbarara City

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 FUFA Technical Centre, Njeru
BUL Logo

BUL

0 - 0
FT
Mbarara City Logo

Mbarara City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
BUL
20%
Draws
24%
Mbarara City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • BUL have won more games recently than Mbarara City.
  • Win probability leans BUL's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
BUL Clean Sheet 68%
Mbarara City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BUL Mbarara City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.26 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs Mbarara City
0:0
Oct 17, 2025 Premier League
Mbarara City vs BUL
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Mbarara City vs BUL
0:0
Oct 2, 2024 Premier League
BUL vs Mbarara City
0:2
May 14, 2024 Premier League
Mbarara City vs BUL
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BUL 86 / 100
Mbarara City 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BUL Mbarara City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BUL scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Mbarara City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

BUL went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

BUL VS Mbarara City
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BUL

(Home)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
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Mbarara City

(Away)
16 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
NEC FC
29 Aug
Police
1 : 0
Mbarara City
23 May
Kampala City
4 : 1
Mbarara City
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)