Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bulgaria U16 vs North Macedonia U16

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bulgaria U16 play North Macedonia U16 in the Friendly International 2023. Bulgaria U16 are favorites here. Recently, Bulgaria U16 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. North Macedonia U16 averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Bulgaria U16 won 3, North Macedonia U16 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 11, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.41 for Bulgaria U16 and 1.16 for North Macedonia U16. This points to a Bulgaria U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Bulgaria U16
15%
Draws
18%
North Macedonia U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bulgaria U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bulgaria U16 picked up more points recently compared to North Macedonia U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.41 vs 1.16 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Bulgaria U16 Clean Sheet 21%
North Macedonia U16 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U16 North Macedonia U16
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2023 Friendly International
Bulgaria U16 vs North Macedonia U16
2:0
Mar 23, 2023 Friendly International
Bulgaria U16 vs North Macedonia U16
1:0
Mar 24, 2021 Friendly International
North Macedonia U16 vs Bulgaria U16
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaote S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

North Macedonia U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U16 65 / 100
North Macedonia U16 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U16 North Macedonia U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bulgaria U16 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bulgaria U16 attacking → ← attacking North Macedonia U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U16 scored in 81% of their last 21 games.

North Macedonia U16 let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Bulgaria U16 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Macedonia U16 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 19
1.57 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25