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Bulgaria U21 vs Greece U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rupanov B.
48'
Georgiev M.
50'

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Bulgaria U21 and Greece U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bulgaria U21
20%
Draws
33%
Greece U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bulgaria U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bulgaria U21 haven't matched Greece U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Greece U21 a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Greece U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Greece U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U21 Greece U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Greece U21
1:1
Jun 12, 2017 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Greece U21
0:1
Jun 2, 2011 Friendly International
Greece U21 vs Bulgaria U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rupanov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Greece U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexiou C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U21 10 / 100
Greece U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U21 Greece U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Greece U21 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bulgaria U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U21 VS Greece U21
1.13 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U21

(Home)
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
14 Oct
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Czech Republic U21
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Greece U21

(Away)
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
27 May
Greece U21
1 : 2
Qatar U23
31 Mar
Greece U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
27 Mar
Greece U21
5 : 0
Malta U21
18 Nov
Greece U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
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