Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bulgaria U21 vs Israel U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Dappa D.
Assist: Abed T.
19' Event
Ben Harush N.
30'
Sub
Rupanov B. In: Bornosuzov Y.
Out: Rupanov B.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Bulgaria U21 and Israel U21 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Israel U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bulgaria U21
30%
Draws
31%
Israel U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bulgaria U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bulgaria U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Israel U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U21 Israel U21
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.19 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Israel U21
0:3
Oct 15, 2024 Euro U21
Israel U21 vs Bulgaria U21
0:1
Sep 12, 2023 Euro U21
Bulgaria U21 vs Israel U21
1:0
Jun 3, 2019 Friendly International
Israel U21 vs Bulgaria U21
2:1
Nov 18, 2009 Euro U21
Israel U21 vs Bulgaria U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Israel U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dappa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ben Harush N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U21 41 / 100
Israel U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U21 Israel U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U21 scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Israel U21 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bulgaria U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U21 VS Israel U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U21

(Home)
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
14 Oct
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Czech Republic U21
Page 1 of 7

Israel U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Israel U21
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
26 Mar
Hungary U21
0 : 1
Israel U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
10 Oct
Israel U21
1 : 1
Slovenia U21
Page 1 of 6