Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bulgaria U21 vs Turkey U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Burcu L.
45'
Ortakaya E.
46'
Sub
Raychev R. In: Zlatev N.
Out: Raychev R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Bulgaria U21 and Turkey U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bulgaria U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bulgaria U21
44%
Draws
20%
Turkey U21
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Bulgaria U21 haven't matched Turkey U21's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Turkey U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U21 Turkey U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Turkey U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimitrov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Turkey U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U21 36 / 100
Turkey U21 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U21 Turkey U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U21 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Turkey U21 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bulgaria U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U21 VS Turkey U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U21

(Home)
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
14 Oct
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Czech Republic U21
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Turkey U21

(Away)
03 Jun
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Kosovo U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
14 Nov
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Ukraine U21
14 Oct
Hungary U21
1 : 1
Turkey U21
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