Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia

Bulgaria

0 - 3

Spain

Our Tip

Match Events

Oyarzabal M.

Assist: Zubimendi M.

30'

Cucurella M.

38'

Merino M.

Assist: Lamine Yamal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Bulgaria and Spain finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Bulgaria

15%

Draws

51%

Spain

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Spain carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Spain have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Bulgaria Clean Sheet 17%

Spain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bulgaria	Spain
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	25
Draws	10	6
Losses	14	1
Goals Scored	1.03	2.56
Goals Conceded	1.77	0.78
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Spain vs Bulgaria

4:0

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Bulgaria vs Spain

0:3

Nov 20, 2002 Friendly International

Spain vs Bulgaria

1:0

Jun 24, 1998 World Championship

Spain vs Bulgaria

6:1

Jun 9, 1996 Euro

Spain vs Bulgaria

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyarzabal M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cucurella M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.29

Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria 31 / 100

Spain 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bulgaria Spain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Bulgaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bulgaria's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Spain has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria VS Spain

3 Goals Scored 1.63

1.2 Goals Conceded 0.5

60% Over 1.5 63%

60% Over 2.5 50%

40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria

(Home)

05 Jun

Moldova

2 : 2

Bulgaria

01 Jun

Bulgaria

0 : 1

Montenegro

30 Mar

Indonesia

0 : 1

Bulgaria

27 Mar

Solomon Islands

2 : 10

Bulgaria

18 Nov

Bulgaria

2 : 1

Georgia

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Spain

(Away)

19 Jul

Spain

1 : 0

Argentina

14 Jul

France

0 : 2

Spain

10 Jul

Spain

2 : 1

Belgium

06 Jul

Portugal

0 : 1

Spain

02 Jul

Spain

3 : 0

Austria

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