Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski

Bulgaria

0 - 3

Spain

Our Tip

Match Events

Oyarzabal M.

Assist: Zubimendi M.

30'

Cucurella M.

38'

Merino M.

Assist: Lamine Yamal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Bulgaria and Spain finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Bulgaria

44%

Draws

20%

Spain

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Spain carry the better recent record into this one.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Spain have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Bulgaria Clean Sheet 16%

Spain Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bulgaria	Spain
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	23
Draws	10	6
Losses	14	1
Goals Scored	2.5	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.33	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.33	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Spain vs Bulgaria

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Bulgaria vs Spain

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Nov 20, 2002 Friendly International

Spain vs Bulgaria

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Jun 24, 1998 World Championship

Spain vs Bulgaria

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

6:1

Jun 9, 1996 Euro

Spain vs Bulgaria

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyarzabal M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cucurella M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria 36 / 100

Spain 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bulgaria Spain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Bulgaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bulgaria's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Spain has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria VS Spain

2.5 Goals Scored 1.63

1.33 Goals Conceded 0.5

67% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

33% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0