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Bulgaria W vs Estonia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Stadion Aleksandar Shalamanov, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Boycheva N.
46'
Sub
Yordanova Y. In: Halyanova G.
Out: Yordanova Y.
46'
Sub
Parapunova Z. In: Atanasova E.
Out: Parapunova Z.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Bulgaria W and Estonia W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estonia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Bulgaria W
15%
Draws
53%
Estonia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estonia W come out ahead of Bulgaria W on wins alone.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bulgaria W Clean Sheet 20%
Estonia W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria W Estonia W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Bulgaria W vs Estonia W
0:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Estonia W vs Bulgaria W
0:0
Nov 18, 2006 Euro Women
Estonia W vs Bulgaria W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Estonia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Teern K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria W 32 / 100
Estonia W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria W Estonia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Bulgaria W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bulgaria W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria W VS Estonia W
1.43 Goals Scored 0.75
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 25%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria W

(Home)
09 Jun
Croatia W
4 : 0
Bulgaria W
05 Jun
Bulgaria W
3 : 1
Gibraltar W
18 Apr
Kosovo W
2 : 1
Bulgaria W
14 Apr
Bulgaria W
1 : 3
Kosovo W
07 Mar
Gibraltar W
0 : 5
Bulgaria W
Page 1 of 6

Estonia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia W
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
05 Jun
Liechtenstein W
0 : 5
Estonia W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Liechtenstein W
10 Apr
Czech Republic U23 W
4 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams