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Bullas Deportivo vs Santomera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

30' Event
Araujo Q.
80' Event
Lopez Moreno E.
88' Event
Jimenez P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Bullas Deportivo and Santomera finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bullas Deportivo
33%
Draws
45%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santomera come out ahead of Bullas Deportivo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bullas Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%
Santomera Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bullas Deportivo Santomera
Matches Played 4 33
Wins 1 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullas Deportivo vs Santomera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bullas Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez Moreno E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bullas Deportivo 36 / 100
Santomera 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bullas Deportivo Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bullas Deportivo scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bullas Deportivo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bullas Deportivo VS Santomera
0.83 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bullas Deportivo

(Home)
27 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 2
Santomera
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
06 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 1
UD Los Garres

Santomera

(Away)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 2
Santomera
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)