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Bulleen vs Melbourne Knights

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Matheus Assumpcao
48'
Ochieng M.
77' Event
Matheus Assumpcao

AI Match Summary

Bulleen in this Victoria Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bulleen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bulleen
15%
Draws
51%
Melbourne Knights
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melbourne Knights

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Melbourne Knights have won more games recently than Bulleen.
  • Win probability leans Melbourne Knights's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bulleen Clean Sheet 15%
Melbourne Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulleen Melbourne Knights
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Knights vs Bulleen
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Bulleen vs Melbourne Knights
2:0
Aug 27, 2018 NPL Victoria
Bulleen vs Melbourne Knights
1:0
May 20, 2018 NPL Victoria
Melbourne Knights vs Bulleen
3:2
Jun 16, 2017 NPL Victoria
Melbourne Knights vs Bulleen
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulleen Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Assumpcao
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Melbourne Knights Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulleen 27 / 100
Melbourne Knights 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulleen Melbourne Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulleen's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Melbourne Knights conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bulleen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulleen VS Melbourne Knights
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulleen

(Home)
01 Aug
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 4
Bulleen
27 Jul
Bulleen
3 : 1
Langwarrin
19 Jul
Western United U21
2 : 4
Bulleen
13 Jul
Bulleen
1 : 1
Brunswick City
03 Jul
Melbourne Knights
3 : 1
Bulleen
Page 1 of 6

Melbourne Knights

(Away)
31 Jul
Melbourne Knights
4 : 2
Western United U21
25 Jul
Manningham United Blues
1 : 5
Melbourne Knights
17 Jul
Melbourne Knights
2 : 0
Brunswick City
10 Jul
Northcote City
0 : 1
Melbourne Knights
03 Jul
Melbourne Knights
3 : 1
Bulleen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melbourne Knights 23 16 2 5 46:19 50
2 Northcote City 23 14 4 5 41:24 46
3 Brunswick Juventus 23 15 1 7 44:30 46
4 Melbourne Victory U21 23 12 4 7 52:35 40
5 Bulleen 23 11 6 6 44:30 39
6 Melbourne Srbija 23 11 2 10 27:24 35
7 Eltham Redbacks 23 9 5 9 49:39 32
8 Brunswick City 23 9 3 11 45:47 30
9 Manningham United Blues 23 9 3 11 38:47 30
10 North Geelong Warriors 23 9 1 13 33:47 28
11 Western United U21 23 8 1 14 46:63 25
12 Langwarrin 23 6 5 12 40:53 23
13 North Sunshine Eagles 23 5 5 13 29:38 20
14 Port Melbourne Sharks 23 4 4 15 13:51 16
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)