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Bullense vs Molina

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2013/2014 game between Bullense and Molina finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bullense
35%
Draws
37%
Molina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Molina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bullense come out ahead of Molina on wins alone.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Molina here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bullense Clean Sheet 18%
Molina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bullense Molina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Molina
1:3
Dec 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs Bullense
2:4
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs Bullense
1:0
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Molina
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bullense 36 / 100
Molina 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bullense Molina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bullense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Molina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bullense VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bullense

(Home)
11 May
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 1
Bullense
04 May
Bullense
0 : 5
Santomera
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Bullense
19 Apr
Bullense
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
13 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Bullense
Page 1 of 6

Molina

(Away)
04 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Molina
14 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Molina
09 May
Molina
1 : 2
Futbol Club Jumilla
03 May
Molina
0 : 5
E.G. El Palmar
26 Apr
Club Edeco Fortuna
0 : 3
Molina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 36 28 4 4 71:15 88
2 Yeclano 36 23 6 7 78:34 75
3 Aguilas FC 36 23 4 9 71:33 73
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 36 21 7 8 75:38 70
5 La Union CF 35 20 6 9 75:32 66
6 Futbol Club Jumilla 36 20 4 12 69:56 64
7 Huercal-Overa CF 36 16 8 12 50:40 56
8 Deportiva Minera 36 15 11 10 59:49 56
9 Real Murcia B 36 13 9 14 57:54 48
10 Ciudad Cieza 36 13 6 17 54:64 45
11 Plus Ultra 35 13 5 17 46:57 44
12 E.G. El Palmar 36 11 10 15 49:55 43
13 Cartagena FC UCAM 36 12 6 18 46:69 42
14 Club Edeco Fortuna 36 11 6 19 43:66 39
15 Muleno CF 35 9 8 18 44:73 35
16 Molina 36 10 5 21 37:64 35
17 CA Pulpileno 36 8 8 20 35:60 32
18 Bullense 35 8 3 24 31:75 27
19 Club Olimpico de Totana 36 5 6 25 38:94 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)