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Bullense vs UCAM Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Jose C.

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bullense
35%
Draws
43%
UCAM Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UCAM Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia B have won more games recently than Bullense.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on UCAM Murcia B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bullense Clean Sheet 15%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bullense UCAM Murcia B
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 17
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Bullense
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs UCAM Murcia B
0:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Bullense
2:0
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs UCAM Murcia B
1:3
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs UCAM Murcia B
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bullense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Jose C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bullense 10 / 100
UCAM Murcia B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bullense UCAM Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Bullense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bullense scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UCAM Murcia B
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bullense

(Home)
11 May
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 1
Bullense
04 May
Bullense
0 : 5
Santomera
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Bullense
19 Apr
Bullense
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
13 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Bullense
Page 1 of 6

UCAM Murcia B

(Away)
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)