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BumProm Gomel vs Din. Minsk 2

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2025 SDYuShOR-6 Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BumProm Gomel play Din. Minsk 2 in the Pershaya Liga 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, BumProm Gomel averaged 1.96 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Din. Minsk 2 averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, BumProm Gomel won 5, Din. Minsk 2 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for BumProm Gomel and 1.31 for Din. Minsk 2. This points to a BumProm Gomel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
BumProm Gomel
15%
Draws
36%
Din. Minsk 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BumProm Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • BumProm Gomel picked up more points recently compared to Din. Minsk 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 18%
Din. Minsk 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BumProm Gomel Din. Minsk 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.96 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Din. Minsk 2 vs BumProm Gomel
3:4
Oct 26, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Din. Minsk 2
3:0
Jun 23, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Din. Minsk 2 vs BumProm Gomel
0:2
Nov 1, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Din. Minsk 2
3:1
Jul 6, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Din. Minsk 2 vs BumProm Gomel
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Potorocha V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zhestkin I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Din. Minsk 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BumProm Gomel 48 / 100
Din. Minsk 2 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BumProm Gomel Din. Minsk 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: BumProm Gomel or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

BumProm Gomel attacking → ← attacking Din. Minsk 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BumProm Gomel scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Din. Minsk 2 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

BumProm Gomel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Din. Minsk 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 43
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Baranovici34235675:2974
2Dnepr Mogilev34207759:3767
3Lokomotiv Gomel341810656:3464
4Belshina34196964:4063
5FK Lida341921374:4459
6BumProm Gomel341611756:3659
7Niva Dolbizno341510968:5655
8BATE 2341581170:5253
9Ostrovets341631556:4851
10FC Minsk 2341561349:4751
11Volna Pinsk341391265:5548
12Belarus U19341191445:4842
13Din. Minsk 23410101434:4040
14Uni X Labs341061854:7236
15FC Gomel 234842234:8328
16Orsha34742341:9425
17Osipovichi34662242:7724
18FC Slonim34622630:8020