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BumProm Gomel vs FK Lida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga SDYuShOR-6 Stadium, Gomel
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Zhestkin I.
Assist: Kutkovich G.
26' Event
Sidorenko K.
Assist: Kabyshev A.
28'
Kabyshev A.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between BumProm Gomel and FK Lida finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BumProm Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
BumProm Gomel
15%
Draws
54%
FK Lida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Lida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • FK Lida carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 10%
FK Lida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BumProm Gomel FK Lida
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs FK Lida
4:0
May 23, 2026 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs BumProm Gomel
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs FK Lida
3:2
May 25, 2025 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs BumProm Gomel
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs BumProm Gomel
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhestkin I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sidorenko K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

FK Lida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BumProm Gomel 29 / 100
FK Lida 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BumProm Gomel FK Lida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BumProm Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BumProm Gomel scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

FK Lida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

BumProm Gomel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BumProm Gomel VS FK Lida
2.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BumProm Gomel

(Home)
10 Oct
Soligorsk
3 : 1
BumProm Gomel
04 Oct
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1
FC Minsk 2
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3
BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
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FK Lida

(Away)
11 Oct
FK Lida
1 : 0
Orsha
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
FK Lida
3 : 2
FC Minsk 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 28 18 6 4 57:28 60
2 Niva Dolbizno 28 18 4 6 72:33 58
3 FK Lida 28 18 3 7 52:43 57
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 28 17 5 6 61:32 56
5 FC Slonim 28 15 5 8 51:33 50
6 Molodechno 27 14 3 10 46:45 45
7 Soligorsk 28 12 7 9 55:45 43
8 BumProm Gomel 28 12 5 11 53:44 41
9 Smorgon 28 10 6 12 35:36 36
10 Ostrovets 28 8 11 9 38:41 35
11 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
12 Volna Pinsk 28 10 5 13 41:51 35
13 FC Minsk 2 28 9 3 16 37:52 30
14 Orsha 28 7 6 15 28:52 27
15 Uni X Labs 27 6 8 13 25:36 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 28 5 6 17 38:60 21
18 Osipovichi 28 5 5 18 30:68 20
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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