Sport Picks

Belarus

Pershaya Liga SDYuShOR-6 Stadium

BumProm Gomel

1 - 3

Orsha

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Shalychev V.

26'

Zhestkin I.

Assist: Kaplunov D.

43'

Sub

Kulesh Y. In: Volchenko N.

Out: Kulesh Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between BumProm Gomel and Orsha finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orsha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

BumProm Gomel

11%

Draws

Orsha

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: BumProm Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and BumProm Gomel come out ahead of Orsha on wins alone.
Model gives BumProm Gomel a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 16%

Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	BumProm Gomel	Orsha
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	15	7
Draws	5	4
Losses	11	17
Goals Scored	2.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Pershaya Liga

BumProm Gomel vs Orsha

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Nov 2, 2025 Pershaya Liga

BumProm Gomel vs Orsha

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Jun 28, 2025 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs BumProm Gomel

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Nov 17, 2024 Pershaya Liga

BumProm Gomel vs Orsha

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

3:4

Jul 27, 2024 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs BumProm Gomel

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhestkin I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Shalychev V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pashkevich M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BumProm Gomel 75 / 100

Orsha 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

BumProm Gomel Orsha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BumProm Gomel scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Orsha let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

BumProm Gomel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

BumProm Gomel VS Orsha

2.5 Goals Scored 1.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slutsk	15	11	2	2	32:16	35
2	SKA-1938 Minsk	15	10	4	1	37:16	34
3	FK Lida	15	8	3	4	27:23	27
4	FC Slonim	15	8	3	4	28:17	27
5	Niva Dolbizno	15	8	3	4	35:18	27
6	Soligorsk	15	7	4	4	33:20	25
7	BumProm Gomel	15	7	3	5	30:21	24
8	Din. Minsk 2	14	7	3	4	29:20	24
9	Volna Pinsk	15	7	2	6	25:25	23
10	Molodechno	15	6	1	8	21:31	19
11	FC Gomel 2	15	4	5	6	23:21	17
12	FC Minsk 2	15	5	1	9	18:31	16
13	Orsha	14	4	3	7	15:25	15
14	Ostrovets	15	2	9	4	18:21	15
15	Uni X Labs	15	4	3	8	13:24	15
16	Smorgon	15	3	5	7	18:24	14
17	BATE 2	15	2	5	8	20:37	11
18	Osipovichi	15	1	1	13	15:47	4