Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Shalychev V.
26'
26'
Zhestkin I.
Assist: Kaplunov D.
43'
43'
Sub
Kulesh Y. In: Volchenko N.
Out: Kulesh Y.
AI Match Summary
The Pershaya Liga game between BumProm Gomel and Orsha finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orsha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BumProm Gomel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and BumProm Gomel come out ahead of Orsha on wins alone.
- Model gives BumProm Gomel a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 16%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BumProm Gomel | Orsha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Orsha
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Orsha
4:0
Jun 28, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs BumProm Gomel
0:3
Nov 17, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Orsha
3:4
Jul 27, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs BumProm Gomel
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BumProm Gomel Compare
Top Goalscorer Zhestkin I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Orsha Compare
Top Goalscorer Shalychev V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pashkevich M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BumProm Gomel 48 / 100
Orsha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BumProm Gomel Orsha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BumProm Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BumProm Gomel scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Orsha let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Difficult form: Orsha registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
BumProm Gomel VS Orsha
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
BumProm Gomel
(Home) 13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1 BumProm Gomel
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2 SKA-1938 Minsk
29 Aug
Slutsk
4 : 1 BumProm Gomel
22 Aug
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1 Din. Minsk 2
16 Aug
Ostrovets
1 : 4 BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2 SKA-1938 Minsk
22 Aug
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1 Din. Minsk 2
26 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1 Molodechno
18 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
04 Jul
BumProm Gomel
1 : 3 Orsha
Page 1 of 3
Orsha
(Away) 11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0 Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3 Ostrovets
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2 Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4 Din. Minsk 2
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2 BATE 2
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0 Orsha
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2 Orsha
15 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 0 Orsha
25 Jul
Volna Pinsk
3 : 1 Orsha
04 Jul
BumProm Gomel
1 : 3 Orsha
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niva Dolbizno | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 63:30 | 51 |
| 2 | Slutsk | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 45:24 | 48 |
| 3 | FK Lida | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 47:38 | 48 |
| 4 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45:29 | 44 |
| 5 | Molodechno | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 6 | FC Slonim | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 45:30 | 40 |
| 7 | Volna Pinsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | 34 |
| 8 | BumProm Gomel | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 43:37 | 34 |
| 9 | Soligorsk | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 33 |
| 10 | Ostrovets | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 33:34 | 33 |
| 11 | Din. Minsk 2 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 41:37 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Minsk 2 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 35:45 | 29 |
| 13 | Smorgon | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29:34 | 27 |
| 14 | Orsha | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:43 | 26 |
| 15 | Uni X Labs | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:33 | 25 |
| 16 | BATE 2 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 34:55 | 21 |
| 17 | FC Gomel 2 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 33:47 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichi | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:61 | 17 |
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
