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BumProm Gomel vs Petrikov

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Kruzhilin S. In: Vospukov M.
Out: Kruzhilin S.
11' Event
Golenko D.
15'
Smaltser A.

AI Match Summary

BumProm Gomel in this Pershaya Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BumProm Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
BumProm Gomel
15%
Draws
28%
Petrikov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BumProm Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BumProm Gomel lately — more wins on the board than Petrikov.
  • BumProm Gomel are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Petrikov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BumProm Gomel Petrikov
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.71 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Petrikov
2:1
Jun 10, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs BumProm Gomel
1:1
Aug 22, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Petrikov vs BumProm Gomel
4:0
May 23, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
BumProm Gomel vs Petrikov
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Golenko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simonchik E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Petrikov Compare

Top Goalscorer Denisyuk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BumProm Gomel 67 / 100
Petrikov 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BumProm Gomel Petrikov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BumProm Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BumProm Gomel scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Petrikov conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Petrikov registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BumProm Gomel VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BumProm Gomel

(Home)
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2
SKA-1938 Minsk
29 Aug
Slutsk
4 : 1
BumProm Gomel
22 Aug
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1
Din. Minsk 2
Page 1 of 7

Petrikov

(Away)
25 Nov
FK Lida
3 : 1
Petrikov
18 Nov
Petrikov
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
12 Nov
Niva Dolbizno
1 : 3
Petrikov
05 Nov
Petrikov
1 : 5
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
28 Oct
Vitebsk
2 : 1
Petrikov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32 26 3 3 86:30 81
2 Dnepr Mogilev 32 22 7 3 75:24 73
3 Vitebsk 32 23 4 5 68:22 73
4 Lokomotiv Gomel 32 19 5 8 55:40 62
5 ML Vitebsk 32 19 4 9 84:52 61
6 FK Baranovici 32 14 6 12 46:49 48
7 Zhodino Yuzhnoe 32 13 7 12 62:52 46
8 Volna Pinsk 32 12 7 13 41:49 43
9 Niva Dolbizno 32 12 5 15 53:66 41
10 FK Lida 32 12 5 15 44:48 41
11 Molodechno 32 11 8 13 51:56 41
12 Ostrovets 32 10 9 13 54:62 39
13 BumProm Gomel 32 10 8 14 45:62 38
14 Orsha 32 8 7 17 50:62 31
15 FC Slonim 32 5 7 20 26:63 22
16 Petrikov 32 6 4 22 33:72 22
17 Osipovichi 32 1 2 29 21:85 5
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Relegation)