Sport Picks
BumProm Gomel vs SKA-1938 Minsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belarus
Pershaya Liga SDYuShOR-6 Stadium, Gomel 
Match Events
27'
27'
Makushinsky Y.
Assist: Kabyshev A.
34'
34'
Kabyshev A.
36'
36'
Knyshev N.
Assist: Slivin A.
AI Match Summary
The Pershaya Liga game between BumProm Gomel and SKA-1938 Minsk finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SKA-1938 Minsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- SKA-1938 Minsk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans SKA-1938 Minsk's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- History favors BumProm Gomel here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BumProm Gomel | SKA-1938 Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:2
May 10, 2026 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs BumProm Gomel
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs SKA-1938 Minsk
4:1
Apr 13, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs BumProm Gomel
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BumProm Gomel Compare
Top Goalscorer Makushinsky Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
SKA-1938 Minsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Knyshev N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Korytko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BumProm Gomel 12 / 100
SKA-1938 Minsk 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BumProm Gomel SKA-1938 Minsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SKA-1938 Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BumProm Gomel scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
SKA-1938 Minsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Solid form: BumProm Gomel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
BumProm Gomel VS SKA-1938 Minsk
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
BumProm Gomel
(Home) 10 Oct
Soligorsk
3 : 1 BumProm Gomel
04 Oct
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1 FC Minsk 2
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3 BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0 FK Lida
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1 BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1 FC Minsk 2
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0 FK Lida
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2 SKA-1938 Minsk
22 Aug
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1 Din. Minsk 2
26 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1 Molodechno
Page 1 of 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
(Away) 10 Oct
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1 Molodechno
03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1 Orsha
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3 SKA-1938 Minsk
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2 SKA-1938 Minsk
22 Aug
Osipovichi
1 : 0 SKA-1938 Minsk
09 Aug
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1 SKA-1938 Minsk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slutsk | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:28 | 60 |
| 2 | Niva Dolbizno | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 72:33 | 58 |
| 3 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 61:32 | 56 |
| 4 | FK Lida | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Slonim | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 51:33 | 50 |
| 6 | Molodechno | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 46:45 | 45 |
| 7 | Soligorsk | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 55:45 | 43 |
| 8 | BumProm Gomel | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 53:44 | 41 |
| 9 | Ostrovets | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Din. Minsk 2 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | Volna Pinsk | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 41:51 | 35 |
| 12 | Smorgon | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:36 | 33 |
| 13 | FC Minsk 2 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 37:50 | 30 |
| 14 | Orsha | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:51 | 27 |
| 15 | Uni X Labs | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25:36 | 26 |
| 16 | BATE 2 | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 36:61 | 22 |
| 17 | FC Gomel 2 | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 38:60 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichi | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 30:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
