Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bunyaruguru vs Mbale Heroes

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Bunyaruguru Logo

Bunyaruguru

2 - 0
FT
Mbale Heroes Logo

Mbale Heroes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Bunyaruguru and Mbale Heroes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bunyaruguru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bunyaruguru
15%
Draws
0%
Mbale Heroes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bunyaruguru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bunyaruguru come out ahead of Mbale Heroes on wins alone.
  • Bunyaruguru are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 20%
Mbale Heroes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyaruguru Mbale Heroes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.97 0.67
Goals Conceded 1 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Mbale Heroes
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Bunyaruguru
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyaruguru 85 / 100
Mbale Heroes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyaruguru Mbale Heroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bunyaruguru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbale Heroes let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Mbale Heroes has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bunyaruguru scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bunyaruguru VS Mbale Heroes
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyaruguru

(Home)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Mbale Heroes

(Away)
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Blacks Power
4 : 0
Mbale Heroes
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
Promotion - Premier League (Main)