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Bunyodkor vs Kokand 1912 Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gvazava S.
27'
Toshtemirov A.
46'
Sub
Bobomurodov A. In: Muhammadov F.
Out: Bobomurodov A.

AI Match Summary

Kokand 1912 in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kokand 1912.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bunyodkor
20%
Draws
32%
Kokand 1912
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bunyodkor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Kokand 1912 haven't matched Bunyodkor's recent run of results.
  • Kokand 1912 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 12%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Kokand 1912
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 2 10
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Kokand 1912
0:1
May 3, 2026 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Bunyodkor
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Bunyodkor
2:2
Jun 18, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Kokand 1912 vs Bunyodkor
1:2
May 2, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Kokand 1912
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bunyodkor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Kokand 1912 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gvazava S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 22 / 100
Kokand 1912 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Kokand 1912

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kokand 1912 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bunyodkor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Kokand 1912 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Kokand 1912 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Kokand 1912
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyodkor

(Home)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6

Kokand 1912

(Away)
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0
Kokand 1912
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)