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Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan Cup Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Turakulov A.
30' Event
Yakhshiboev J.
32'
Bobomurodov A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Bunyodkor
15%
Draws
65%
Lok. Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lok. Tashkent lately — more wins on the board than Bunyodkor.
  • Win probability leans Lok. Tashkent's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lok. Tashkent arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bunyodkor, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Lok. Tashkent
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Uzbekistan Cup
Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent
0:1
Aug 26, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Bunyodkor
4:1
Apr 2, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Bunyodkor
2:3
May 21, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bunyodkor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakhshiboev J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 10 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Lok. Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Bunyodkor's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lok. Tashkent's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Bunyodkor remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Lok. Tashkent
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyodkor

(Home)
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1
Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Tashkent

(Away)
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Neftchi Fargona 1
Pakhtakor 0
Bunyodkor 0
Lok. Tashkent 1
Sogdiana 2
Jayxun 0
Andijan 3
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2
OKMK 2
Xorazm Urganch 1
Termez Surkhon 0
PFK Guliston 1
Navbahor Namangan 1
Nasaf Qarshi 0
Gazalkent 2
Kokand 1912 1
Quarter-finals
Neftchi Fargona -
Lok. Tashkent -
Sogdiana -
Andijan -
OKMK -
PFK Guliston -
Navbahor Namangan -
Gazalkent -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -