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Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Yuldashov B.
Assist: Toshmirzaev B.
21'
Susnjar A.
40'
Krivokapic M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Bunyodkor and Lok. Tashkent finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bunyodkor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Bunyodkor
15%
Draws
65%
Lok. Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lok. Tashkent come out ahead of Bunyodkor on wins alone.
  • Lok. Tashkent are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Lok. Tashkent
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Uzbekistan Cup
Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent
0:1
Aug 26, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Bunyodkor
4:1
Apr 2, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Bunyodkor
2:3
May 21, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Lok. Tashkent
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bunyodkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuldashov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bugarin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 10 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Lok. Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lok. Tashkent conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Bunyodkor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bunyodkor has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Lok. Tashkent
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyodkor

(Home)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Tashkent

(Away)
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)