Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bunyodkor vs TerDU

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan Cup 2024 Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Normurodov N.
Own Goal
19' Event
Ismonaliev U.
Assist: Olimzhonov M.
84' Event
Abdukholikov T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Bunyodkor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bunyodkor
15%
Draws
85%
TerDU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TerDU

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bunyodkor come out ahead of TerDU on wins alone.
  • Bunyodkor are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Bunyodkor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bunyodkor, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 19%
TerDU Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor TerDU
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 13 1
Draws 4 1
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.22 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Bunyodkor vs TerDU
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bunyodkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismonaliev U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

TerDU Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 49 / 100
TerDU 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor TerDU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TerDU let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

TerDU's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bunyodkor found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS TerDU
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyodkor

(Home)
08 Aug
Bunyodkor
2 : 3
OKMK
02 Aug
Qizilqum
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
26 Jul
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Pakhtakor
21 Jul
Buxoro
1 : 0
Bunyodkor
16 Jul
Bunyodkor
1 : 3
Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 7

TerDU

(Away)
04 Aug
FarDU
5 : 1
TerDU
30 Jul
TerDU
0 : 2
Kattaqurgon
24 Jul
Olimpik-Mobiuz
3 : 0
TerDU
10 Jun
BuxDu
2 : 0
TerDU
04 Jun
Respublika FA
4 : 2
TerDU
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Bunyodkor 2
TerDU 1
Aral 0
Pakhtakor 1
Sogdiana 1
Neftchi Fargona 0
Navbahor Namangan 1
Buxoro 0
Mashal Muborak 1
Qizilqum 3
Olympic 0
Andijan 1
Metallurg Bekabad 1
Termez Surkhon 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz 1
Xorazm Urganch 2
Quarter-finals
Bunyodkor 0
Pakhtakor 1
Sogdiana 2
Navbahor Namangan 3
Qizilqum 0
Andijan 3
Termez Surkhon 3
Xorazm Urganch 1
Semi-finals
Pakhtakor 0
Navbahor Namangan 1
Andijan 1
Termez Surkhon 0
Final
Navbahor Namangan 2
Andijan 3