Sport Picks
Bunyodkor vs Termez Surkhon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Milliy Stadium, Tashkent 
Match Events
26'
26'
Ramazonov D.
53'
53'
Sub
Kodirov F. In: Mirusmonov M.
Out: Kodirov F.
67'
67'
Anvarov I.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Bunyodkor and Termez Surkhon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termez Surkhon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termez Surkhon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Termez Surkhon come out ahead of Bunyodkor on wins alone.
- Termez Surkhon are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 17%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Termez Surkhon
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor
0:0
Aug 13, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Termez Surkhon
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bunyodkor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Termez Surkhon Compare
Top Goalscorer Dzebniauri T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bunyodkor 23 / 100
Termez Surkhon 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bunyodkor Termez Surkhon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Termez Surkhon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bunyodkor scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Termez Surkhon let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Bunyodkor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bunyodkor VS Termez Surkhon
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bunyodkor
(Home) 16 Oct
Bunyodkor
1 : 1 Sogdiana
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1 Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Bunyodkor
1 : 1 Sogdiana
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
20 Aug
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 4
Termez Surkhon
(Away) 16 Oct
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
03 Aug
Kokand 1912
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:21 | 55 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 43:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:32 | 40 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:30 | 39 |
| 6 | OKMK | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 38 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 24:30 | 33 |
| 9 | Din. Samarkand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 10 | Andijan | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 41:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 19:28 | 28 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:34 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 20:34 | 23 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | 23 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11:48 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
