Sport Picks
Bunyodkor vs Termez Surkhon
Uzbekistan
Super League Milliy Stadium, Tashkent 
AI Match Summary
Bunyodkor host Termez Surkhon in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Termez Surkhon have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Bunyodkor have conceded 1.68 and scored 1.19. Past meetings favor Bunyodkor slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.44) back Termez Surkhon to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Termez Surkhon have managed 1 goals a game lately — Bunyodkor are scoring more at 1.19.
- Termez Surkhon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bunyodkor | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bunyodkor scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Termez Surkhon let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Difficult form: Termez Surkhon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Bunyodkor
(Home)Termez Surkhon
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45:10 | 45 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 31:18 | 40 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 37 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 28:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32:26 | 31 |
| 6 | OKMK | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Andijan | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:30 | 26 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20:18 | 25 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 32:39 | 24 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16:26 | 20 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 17:28 | 20 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | 19 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 20:31 | 19 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8:34 | 4 |
