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Bunyodkor vs Xorazm Urganch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bunyodkor host Xorazm Urganch in the Super League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Xorazm Urganch have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Bunyodkor have conceded 1.76 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Bunyodkor have won 4 to Xorazm Urganch's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.56, favoring Bunyodkor. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bunyodkor
35%
Draws
28%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bunyodkor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Xorazm Urganch haven't matched Bunyodkor's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bunyodkor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 15%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Bunyodkor
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Bunyodkor
0:0
Aug 1, 2010 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Xorazm Urganch
4:1
Jun 14, 2010 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Bunyodkor
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 31 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Xorazm Urganch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bunyodkor scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Xorazm Urganch let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bunyodkor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Xorazm Urganch
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyodkor

(Home)
16 Oct
Bunyodkor
1 : 1
Sogdiana
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1
Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
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Xorazm Urganch

(Away)
16 Oct
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 24 17 4 3 56:21 55
2 Pakhtakor 24 15 8 1 43:22 53
3 Navbahor Namangan 24 13 7 4 42:24 46
4 Buxoro 24 12 4 8 37:32 40
5 Lok. Tashkent 24 11 6 7 39:30 39
6 OKMK 24 11 6 7 34:31 39
7 Nasaf Qarshi 24 10 8 6 35:22 38
8 Qizilqum 24 10 3 11 24:30 33
9 Din. Samarkand 24 8 6 10 35:38 30
10 Andijan 24 9 3 12 29:32 30
11 Sogdiana 24 8 5 11 41:47 29
12 Termez Surkhon 24 7 7 10 19:28 28
13 Kokand 1912 24 5 8 11 24:34 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 24 5 8 11 20:34 23
15 Bunyodkor 24 7 2 15 24:40 23
16 Mashal Muborak 24 1 1 22 11:48 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)