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Buochs vs Luzern - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Dorn P.
33' Event
Wyss S.
78' Event
Kabwit O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Buochs
15%
Draws
42%
Luzern
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buochs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luzern lately — more wins on the board than Buochs.
  • Model gives Buochs a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Luzern arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Luzern, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Buochs Clean Sheet 10%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buochs Luzern
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Swiss Cup
Buochs vs Luzern
0:3
Sep 18, 2021 Swiss Cup
Buochs vs Luzern
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buochs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorn P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wyss S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buochs 40 / 100
Luzern 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buochs Luzern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Buochs scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Luzern has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Luzern lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buochs VS Luzern
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Buochs

(Home)
18 Oct
FC Widnau
0 : 2
Buochs
10 Oct
Delemont
4 : 0
Buochs
03 Oct
Buochs
1 : 2
Langenthal
26 Sept
Wohlen
2 : 1
Buochs
19 Sept
Grasshopper II
0 : 1
Buochs
Page 1 of 6

Luzern

(Away)
17 Oct
Winterthur
0 : 1
Luzern
10 Oct
Lugano
4 : 0
Luzern
03 Oct
Freiburg
4 : 2
Luzern
19 Sept
Luzern
5 : 1
Grasshoppers
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
1/16-finals
Old Boys 1
Yverdon 2
Schaffhausen 2
Thun 3
FC Winkeln SG 0
Lausanne 7
Grenchen 0
Grasshoppers 8
Koniz 0
Bruhl SG 2
Aarau 2
Zurich 0
Rapperswil-Jona 0
St. Gallen 2
Pully 0
Lugano 4
Bulle 0
Wil 1
Winterthur 0
Luzern 1
Taverne 0
Young Boys 5
Stade Nyonnais 0
Basel 3
Lausanne Ouchy 3
Etoile-Carouge 0
Cham 0
Sion 2
Langenthal 2
Xamax 3
Rotkreuz 0
Servette 4
1/8-finals
Yverdon -
Thun -
Lausanne -
Grasshoppers -
Bruhl SG -
Aarau -
St. Gallen -
Lugano -
Wil -
Luzern -
Young Boys -
Basel -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Sion -
Xamax -
Servette -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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