Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between Bupolsa and Arandina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arandina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arandina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Arandina's 1.06 goals per match outpaces what Bupolsa have produced (0.77).
- Model gives Bupolsa a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Arandina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Bupolsa Clean Sheet 20%
Arandina Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bupolsa | Arandina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Arandina
0:1
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Bupolsa
4:3
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Bupolsa
2:0
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Arandina
0:1
May 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Arandina
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bupolsa 42 / 100
Arandina 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bupolsa Arandina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arandina let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Bupolsa's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Bupolsa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Arandina
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bupolsa
(Home) 20 Jun
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 0 Bupolsa
12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0 Bupolsa
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0 Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1 La Baneza
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12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0 Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1 La Baneza
09 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS B
25 Apr
Bupolsa
2 : 0 Penaranda de Bracamonte
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Arandina
(Away) 05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1 Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3 Bembibre
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1 Arandina
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05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1 Arandina
04 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 1 Arandina
21 Mar
Numancia B
0 : 2 Arandina
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palencia CA | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 29:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Atletico Astorga | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 26:11 | 35 |
| 3 | Leonesa B | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 25:18 | 35 |
| 4 | La Virgen | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Atletico Tordesillas | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:22 | 26 |
| 6 | Bembibre | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 17:20 | 26 |
| 7 | La Baneza | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS B | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 17:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Santa Marta Tormes | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Penaranda de Bracamonte | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Becerril | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 54:10 | 57 |
| 2 | Burgos CF B | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Numancia B | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 40:34 | 39 |
| 4 | Arandina | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 41:31 | 36 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 30:21 | 33 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:23 | 31 |
| 7 | Almazan | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:31 | 31 |
| 8 | Colegios Diocesanos | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 19:42 | 23 |
| 9 | La Granja | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24:30 | 22 |
| 10 | Real Burgos CF | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:37 | 19 |
| 11 | CD Cebrerena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18:36 | 19 |
| 12 | Bupolsa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:35 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
