Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Bupolsa in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bupolsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bupolsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bupolsa have won more games recently than La Granja.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Bupolsa taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bupolsa Clean Sheet 68%
La Granja Clean Sheet 22%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bupolsa | La Granja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs La Granja
1:0
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Bupolsa
3:1
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs La Granja
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Bupolsa
0:2
Mar 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Granja vs Bupolsa
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bupolsa 50 / 100
La Granja 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bupolsa La Granja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bupolsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Granja has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
La Granja lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Bupolsa found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).
Scoring Trends
Bupolsa VS La Granja
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
13% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bupolsa
(Home) 20 Jun
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 0 Bupolsa
12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0 Bupolsa
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0 Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1 La Baneza
Page 1 of 7
12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0 Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1 La Baneza
09 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS B
25 Apr
Bupolsa
2 : 0 Penaranda de Bracamonte
Page 1 of 4
La Granja
(Away) 21 Aug
La Granja
1 : 4 Gimnastica Segoviana
20 Jun
Becerril
2 : 1 La Granja
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0 La Granja
29 May
La Granja
0 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS B
22 May
Santa Marta Tormes
0 : 0 La Granja
Page 1 of 7
20 Jun
Becerril
2 : 1 La Granja
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0 La Granja
22 May
Santa Marta Tormes
0 : 0 La Granja
28 Apr
Penaranda de Bracamonte
2 : 1 La Granja
17 Apr
Salamanca CF UDS B
0 : 0 La Granja
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palencia CA | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 29:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Atletico Astorga | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 26:11 | 35 |
| 3 | Leonesa B | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 25:18 | 35 |
| 4 | La Virgen | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Atletico Tordesillas | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:22 | 26 |
| 6 | Bembibre | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 17:20 | 26 |
| 7 | La Baneza | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS B | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 17:26 | 22 |
| 9 | Santa Marta Tormes | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Penaranda de Bracamonte | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 11 | Becerril | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 54:10 | 57 |
| 2 | Burgos CF B | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Numancia B | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 40:34 | 39 |
| 4 | Arandina | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 41:31 | 36 |
| 5 | Mirandes B | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 30:21 | 33 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:23 | 31 |
| 7 | Almazan | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:31 | 31 |
| 8 | Colegios Diocesanos | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 19:42 | 23 |
| 9 | La Granja | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24:30 | 22 |
| 10 | Real Burgos CF | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:37 | 19 |
| 11 | CD Cebrerena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18:36 | 19 |
| 12 | Bupolsa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:35 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
