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Burgan vs Al Shamiya FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kuwait Kuwait

Division 1 2025/2026
Burgan Logo

Burgan

4 - 1
FT
Al Shamiya FC Logo

Al Shamiya FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Burgan in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burgan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Burgan
15%
Draws
0%
Al Shamiya FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Burgan have won more games recently than Al Shamiya FC.
  • Burgan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burgan have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Burgan Clean Sheet 20%
Al Shamiya FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgan Al Shamiya FC
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 1
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Division 1
Burgan vs Al Shamiya FC
4:1
Feb 21, 2026 Division 1
Al Shamiya FC vs Burgan
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Division 1
Burgan vs Al Shamiya FC
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgan 85 / 100
Al Shamiya FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgan Al Shamiya FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shamiya FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 22 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Al Shamiya FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Burgan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burgan VS Al Shamiya FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgan

(Home)
08 Oct
Burgan
0 : 1
Al Jazira
20 Aug
Sporty FC
2 : 4
Burgan
17 Aug
Burgan
4 : 1
Al Shamiya FC
14 Aug
Khaitan
0 : 0
Burgan
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
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Al Shamiya FC

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Shamiya FC
0 : 1
Ittihad Al-Shorta
20 Aug
Al Shamiya FC
0 : 1
Khaitan
17 Aug
Burgan
4 : 1
Al Shamiya FC
14 Aug
Al Shamiya FC
3 : 4
Sporty FC
10 Aug
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Shamiya FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sulaibikhat 21 13 5 3 38:16 44
2 Al Sahel 21 13 5 3 35:16 44
3 Yarmouk 21 13 4 4 42:20 43
4 Al Jazira 21 11 5 5 41:24 38
5 Khaitan 21 7 6 8 23:20 27
6 Burgan 21 5 8 8 26:30 23
7 Al Shamiya FC 21 3 1 17 19:63 10
8 Sporty FC 21 2 0 19 14:49 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)