Sport Picks

Kuwait

Division 1

Burgan

0 - 1

Yarmouk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Burgan and Yarmouk finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yarmouk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Burgan

28%

Draws

50%

Yarmouk

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Yarmouk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Yarmouk carry the better recent record into this one.
Yarmouk are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Yarmouk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Burgan Clean Sheet 10%

Yarmouk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Burgan	Yarmouk
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	7	11
Draws	11	5
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.25	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Division 1

Burgan vs Yarmouk

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Oct 4, 2025 Division 1

Yarmouk vs Burgan

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Apr 2, 2024 Division 1

Burgan vs Yarmouk

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Feb 14, 2024 Division 1

Yarmouk vs Burgan

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Nov 5, 2023 Division 1

Burgan vs Yarmouk

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgan 22 / 100

Yarmouk 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Burgan Yarmouk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Burgan scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Yarmouk has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Burgan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burgan VS Yarmouk

1.25 Goals Scored 2.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yarmouk	13	9	2	2	30:12	29
2	Al Sahel	13	9	2	2	24:12	29
3	Al Sulaibikhat	13	9	1	3	28:14	28
4	Al-Jazira	13	7	3	3	26:18	24
5	Khaitan	13	5	2	6	14:15	17
6	Burgan	13	3	5	5	17:21	14
7	Al Shamiya FC	13	2	1	10	14:40	7
8	Sporty FC	13	0	0	13	6:27	0