Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burgan vs Yarmouk

Kuwait Kuwait

Division 1
Burgan Logo

Burgan

0 - 1
FT
Yarmouk Logo

Yarmouk

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Burgan and Yarmouk finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yarmouk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Burgan
35%
Draws
32%
Yarmouk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Yarmouk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Burgan are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Yarmouk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Burgan Clean Sheet 15%
Yarmouk Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgan Yarmouk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Division 1
Yarmouk vs Burgan
3:1
Jan 22, 2026 Division 1
Burgan vs Yarmouk
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Division 1
Yarmouk vs Burgan
1:2
Apr 2, 2024 Division 1
Burgan vs Yarmouk
1:3
Feb 14, 2024 Division 1
Yarmouk vs Burgan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgan 35 / 100
Yarmouk 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgan Yarmouk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yarmouk let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Burgan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Burgan scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burgan VS Yarmouk
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgan

(Home)
20 Aug
Sporty FC
2 : 4
Burgan
17 Aug
Burgan
4 : 1
Al Shamiya FC
14 Aug
Khaitan
0 : 0
Burgan
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
07 Aug
Burgan
0 : 0
Al Sulaibikhat
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Yarmouk

(Away)
20 Aug
Al Sahel
2 : 3
Yarmouk
17 Aug
Al-Jazira
2 : 0
Yarmouk
14 Aug
Yarmouk
1 : 1
Al Sulaibikhat
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
07 Aug
Yarmouk
0 : 0
Khaitan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sulaibikhat 21 13 5 3 38:16 44
2 Al Sahel 21 13 5 3 35:16 44
3 Yarmouk 21 13 4 4 42:20 43
4 Al-Jazira 21 11 5 5 41:24 38
5 Khaitan 21 7 6 8 23:20 27
6 Burgan 21 5 8 8 26:30 23
7 Al Shamiya FC 21 3 1 17 19:63 10
8 Sporty FC 21 2 0 19 14:49 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)